The Latvia-based Hodl Hodl crew behind the non-custodial p2p trade and the Bitcoin-maximalist pleasant Baltic Honeybadger convention, have recently outlined their plans for a Bitcoin-focused prediction market, related to the Augur platform which is at present lively on the Ethereum community.
Hodl Hodl at present
A prediction market would permit for extra advanced p2p devices to be created, together with rudimentary types of by-product considerably related to the choices provided by the favored by-product platforms comparable to Deribit and BitMEX. For instance, two customers might select to make a prediction on the worth of Ethereum on a particular date six months in the long run, and create a winner-takes-all contract, whereby occasion A wins if Ethereum is bigger than X and occasion B wins if Ethereum is lower than X.
More fascinating although, would be the chance for an lively prediction market constructed on Bitcoin to develop and facilitate contracts on fully unrelated occasions exterior the world of cryptocurrency. For instance, it is going to be attainable to create prediction contracts primarily based on the outcomes of elections and sporting occasions, which might permit an thrilling lively market to develop with completely different events providing various odds on sure outcomes.
Hodl Hodl solely intend to have two easy guidelines that dictate acceptable contracts, which might disallow each unlawful or ambiguous situations for the contract. In order to guarantee the foundations are adopted, contracts can be pre-moderated by the Hodl Hodl crew earlier than going reside, and most potential customers will possible agree that these easy guidelines are fairly affordable concerns when making a market for the end result of a prediction. According to Roman Snitko at HodlHodl, the Predictions platform “will probably have some templates for offer descriptions first”, and there are possible to be standardised provides/contracts for the preferred predictions because the platform grows.
The platform can be hosted at predictions.hodlhodl.com and current HodlHodl customers can be in a position to get caught straight into making and taking predictions when the platform goes reside throughout the subsequent couple of months.